[PLUG-TALK] Risk of earthquake based nuclear problems in USA

Denis Heidtmann denis.heidtmann at gmail.com
Sat Mar 19 09:00:28 PDT 2011


On Fri, Mar 18, 2011 at 8:07 PM, Michael Rasmussen <michael at jamhome.us>wrote:

> On Fri, Mar 18, 2011 at 06:13:01PM -0700, Denis Heidtmann wrote:
> > On Fri, Mar 18, 2011 at 8:42 AM, Michael <michael at jamhome.us> wrote:
> >
> > > The NRC updated their risk assessment after the US Geological people
> > > updated quake probability and strength maps.  The most vulnerable nuke
> sites
> > > are not in California - though they do rank in the top 10.
> > >
> > > http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/42103936/ns/world_news-asiapacific/
> > >
> > > Interesting risk analysis problem.
> > >
> > > --
> > > Michael Rasmussen
> > >
> >  You (or anybody) have access to the entire list?  It would be
> interesting
> > to assume events are independent add compute the likelihood of at least
> one
> > event in the U.S. per year.
>
>
> The bottom of the article has a "see more" link that has them all.
>
> --
>      Michael Rasmussen,


Thanks.  My calculation shows .0021 per year chance of no
accidents occurring in the U.S. That is 1 in 475.

-Denis
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