[PLUG-TALK] Risk of earthquake based nuclear problems in USA

Denis Heidtmann denis.heidtmann at gmail.com
Sat Mar 19 09:30:31 PDT 2011

On Sat, Mar 19, 2011 at 9:12 AM, Rich Shepard <rshepard at appl-ecosys.com>wrote:

> On Sat, 19 Mar 2011, Denis Heidtmann wrote:
> > My calculation shows .0021 per year chance of no accidents occurring in
> > the U.S. That is 1 in 475.
> Denis,
>   Hm-m-m. Your calculations show that there is a 99.79% chance each year of
> a nuclear accident. Really?

My misstatement.  Chance of at least one accident.

>   I was doing research on proghorn antelope and low-level radioactive waste
> disposal site plant covers at the INEL (or whatever it's called now) in the
> early 1980s when the Challis earthquake hit just after the bus from
> Pocatello dropped us off. We grabbed the last radios and took off to our
> research area (well separated from all the reactor sites) where we
> monitored
> the emergency and fire nets all day. Our plan was to speed cross-country,
> regardless of sage brush and rough terrain, in an up-wind direction should
> any of the reactor containment vessels have cracked from the earthquake. We
> didn't get any work done that day but all reactors instantly scrammed and
> there was no physical damage to any of them. One kid killed in Challis as
> the parapart fell off a building he was passing on his way to school.
> Rich
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