[PLUG-TALK] Risk of earthquake based nuclear problems in USA

Denis Heidtmann denis.heidtmann at gmail.com
Sat Mar 19 10:46:11 PDT 2011


On Sat, Mar 19, 2011 at 10:16 AM, Michael Rasmussen <michael at jamhome.us>wrote:

> On Fri, Mar 18, 2011 at 06:13:01PM -0700, Denis Heidtmann wrote:
> >  You (or anybody) have access to the entire list?  It would be
> interesting
> > to assume events are independent add compute the likelihood of at least
> one
> > event in the U.S. per year.
>
> Why assume the events are independent?  All reactors in a region/seismic
> zone
> would be affected at the same time.  It is not the case that you have three
> times
> the likelihood of an earthquake because there are three reactors that would
> be
> affected.  Unless Murphy really does rule probabilities.
>
> --
>      Michael Rasmussen
>

True.  It was just easier.

But look at this:

http://www.dailytech.com/EDITORIAL+US+NRC+Confirms+MSNBCcom+Reporter+Mislead+Sensationalized+Story/article21170.htm


Someone selling "news" (and maybe someone selling nuclear power.)

-Denis
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